8
Cinnodin
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 102
Uttoxeter · Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Exeter | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 19/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |