4

Crystal Glance

6yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 110

Uttoxeter · Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner who was better than ever when scoring at Bangor in May. Disappointed since but yard is in better form than when last seen. Has had a breathing operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Aintree 26/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 97 · 2m4f Goo 145 · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 97 par26/124OR 975 @ Newcastle 13/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 97 · 2m190y Goo 160 · below its mark13/02/2025 · OR 97 par5 @ Uttoxeter 29/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 96 · 1m7f168y Goo 168 · beat its mark29/03/2025 · OR 96 par29/035OR 964 @ Stratford 08/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 103 · 2m70y Goo 156 · below its mark08/05/2025 · OR 103 par4 @ Warwick 21/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 103 · 2m5f Gd 156 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 103 par21/054OR 1033 @ Warwick 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 107 · 2m5f5y Goo 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 107 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 27/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 106 · 2m3f123y Gd 154 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 106 par27/104OR 1065 @ Ludlow 24/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 105 · 2m7f174y Goo 168 · below its mark24/11/2025 · OR 105 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 104 · 2m3f123y Gd 162 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 104 par23/054OR 104projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Uttoxeter40
2026-06-26Bangor-on-Dee3+1
2026-05-23Bangor-on-Dee41st1st0
2025-11-24Ludlow53rd4th1
2025-10-27Bangor-on-Dee45th5th0
2025-10-01Warwick33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/128/0527/1023/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20245th13/891%43%-0.49
13/02/20257th17/255%50%-0.05
29/03/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
08/05/20252nd11/486%50%-0.36
21/05/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
01/10/20253rd85/4089%50%-0.39
27/10/20255th7/282%43%-0.39
24/11/20253rd10/382%60%-0.22
23/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24