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6

Torrent

5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 107

Uttoxeter · Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner who posted best effort for some time when third of 16 to Billy Boi Blue over C&D in July. Below that level at Stratford since but better expected back here (6 lb better off with Billy Boi Blue this time).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chepstow 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 117 · 2m11y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 117 par11/102OR 1172 @ Ascot 01/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 119 · 1m7f157y Goo 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 119 par4 @ Sandown 05/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 117 · 1m7f216y Sft 165 · below its mark05/12/2025 · OR 117 par5/124OR 1173 @ Newbury 29/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 117 · 2m4f118y GS 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 117 par4 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 113 · 2m3f100y Goo 162 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 113 par2/044OR 1133 @ Uttoxeter 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 111 · 2m3f207y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 110 · 2m3f123y Gd 168 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 110 par23/054OR 1104 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 109 · 2m7f70y Gd 167 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 109 par4 @ Stratford 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 109 · 2m6f7y GF 161 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 109 par20/084OR 109projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Stratford43rd3rd0
2026-07-24Uttoxeter43rd3rd0
2026-05-23Bangor-on-Dee45th5th0
2026-05-02Uttoxeter34th3rd+1
2026-04-02Chepstow46th6th0
2026-01-27Chepstow3+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1029/1223/0520/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength49%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20252nd22/10%92%+0.92
01/11/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
05/12/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
29/12/20257th28/10%45%+0.45
02/04/20266th15/261%55%-0.06
02/05/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
23/05/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
24/07/20263rd15/261%87%+0.26
20/08/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24