2

Ifyouhaveaplan

5yo Gelding · 11-5

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 207y

#9

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame twice from 4 starts in points but well held in 2 bumpers and maiden hurdle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1585/0755 @ Uttoxeter 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15615/0754 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f139y Gd 15815/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Market Rasen48th8th0
2026-07-15Uttoxeter56th7th1
2026-07-05Market Rasen55th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0715/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
15/07/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20268th125/10%22%+0.22