4
Martymill
5yo Gelding · 11-5
Uttoxeter · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |