5

Trigger The Light

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in a point bumper before third in a Warwick bumper in October. Pulled up on hurdling debut but much more like it following a breathing operation when third in maiden at Southwell. Won't come into his own until tackling staying trips, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Warwick 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m Goo 1561/1054 @ Southwell 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f88y Goo 1589/064projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Southwell43rd3rd0
2025-10-31Uttoxeter40
2025-10-01Warwick53rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/109/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +91.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20253rd16/583%67%-0.16
09/06/20263rd28/10%75%+0.75