Bleu D'enfer
8yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 122
Uttoxeter · Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Cartmel | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Haydock | 1 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |