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5

Ice Jet

4yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 117

Uttoxeter · Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Defied a double penalty to land a 10-day hurdles hat-trick at Worcester (2½m) in May and unlucky not to extend his sequence when second on chase debut at this course in July. No disgrace behind a thriving sort at Newton Abbot since and looks the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 11/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m11y Gd 15411/1044 @ Warwick 04/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m Gd 1544 @ Fontwell 16/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f162y GS 15416/1145 @ Wetherby 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 86 · 2m Goo 145 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Hereford 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 92 · 2m3f147y Goo 153 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 92 par12/055OR 924 @ Huntingdon 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 92 · 2m4f145y Goo 150 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 92 par5 @ Worcester 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 2m4f Gd 166 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 92 par22/055OR 924 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 2m4f Gd 153 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 113 par3 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 117 · 2m75y Goo 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 117 par22/083OR 117projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newton Abbot32nd1st+1
2026-07-07Uttoxeter42nd2nd0
2026-05-22Worcester51st2nd−1
2026-05-19Huntingdon41st1st0
2026-05-12Hereford51st2nd−1
2026-03-17Wetherby52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1017/0322/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength91%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20257th17/255%33%-0.22
04/11/20259th6/168%38%-0.30
16/11/20257th28/10%0%0.00
17/03/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
12/05/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
19/05/20261st30/10098%100%+0.02
22/05/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
07/07/20262nd5/696%86%-0.10
22/08/20262nd4/596%67%-0.29