3
Supreme George
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 114
Uttoxeter · Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Ludlow | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |