1
Maghlaak
7yo Gelding · 12-1 · OR 111
Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Market Rasen | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |