Norman Fletcher
7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110
Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Haydock | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |