9

Phantom Gold

8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 102

Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

52%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Posted career best when taking 7-runner handicap hurdle at Worcester (2½m, good, 10/11) 61 days ago, form that has worked out well (Royal Rhythm in third, has won next 2 starts). Since joined Tom Ellis and remains open to further improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newton Abbot 31/07/2023 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 15631/0754 @ Sedgefield 01/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m3f188y Goo 1591/0444 @ Bangor-on-Dee 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m145y Gd 15718/0444 @ Aintree 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m209y Gd 15615/0545 @ Southwell 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 91 · 1m7f182y Goo 159 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 91 par9/065OR 915 @ Worcester 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 95 · 2m Gd 165 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 95 par1/075OR 955 @ Worcester 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 2m4f Goo 161 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 98 par16/075OR 98projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Worcester51st2nd1
2026-07-01Worcester52nd3rd1
2026-06-09Southwell52nd3rd1
2026-05-15Aintree44th4th0
2026-04-18Bangor-on-Dee46th6th0
2026-04-01Sedgefield45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0715/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20231st11/271%100%+0.29
01/04/20265th8/158%20%-0.38
18/04/20266th100/10%58%+0.58
15/05/20264th40/10%40%+0.40
09/06/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14
01/07/20262nd5/493%88%-0.06
16/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05