9

Phantom Gold
8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 102
Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sedgefield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2023 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |