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12

Royal Rhythm

10yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 96

Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended a long losing run in dominant fashion at Worcester (2½m) last month and followed up, off 9 lb higher, in 6-runner handicap hurdle over longer trip at Fontwell since. Can race off same mark here and must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 06/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 2m4f139y Gd 164 · beat its mark06/07/2025 · OR 94 par6/075OR 945 @ Worcester 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 93 · 2m4f Gd 164 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 93 par5 @ Worcester 15/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 97 · 2m4f GS 165 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 97 par15/095OR 975 @ Worcester 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 96 · 2m4f Gd 165 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 96 par5 @ Fontwell 06/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 93 · 2m5f164y Goo 158 · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 93 par6/055OR 935 @ Southwell 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 2m4f88y Goo 154 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 91 par5 @ Worcester 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 2m4f Goo 151 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 88 par16/075OR 885 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 87 · 2m4f Gd 161 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 87 par5 @ Fontwell 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 96 · 2m5f164y Gd 168 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 96 par6/095OR 96projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Fontwell51st2nd−1
2026-08-19Worcester51st2nd−1
2026-07-16Worcester53rd4th−1
2026-07-07Uttoxeter5−1
2026-06-09Southwell55th6th−1
2026-05-06Fontwell55th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0715/1016/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20252nd18/15%88%+0.82
20/08/20252nd25/10%88%+0.88
15/09/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
15/10/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
06/05/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
09/06/20265th22/10%43%+0.43
16/07/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11
19/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
06/09/20261st3/184%100%+0.16