4

Virtual Rock

7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 107

Uttoxeter · Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won novice at this course in 2024 but lightly raced and well held since. Best watched on first start for another new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Chantilly 19/06/2022 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/06C11 @ Deauville 15/08/2022 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ ParisLongchamp 01/09/2022 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS1/09C1C1 @ Saint-Cloud 18/03/2023 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2023 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS16/04C14 @ Uttoxeter 09/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Sft 1544 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15626/0742 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 104 · 1m3f24y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 104 par3 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 110 · 2m1f46y Goo 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 110 par29/083OR 110projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel38th7th+1
2026-08-06Southwell212th10th+2
2024-07-26Uttoxeter41st1st0
2024-07-09Uttoxeter42nd2nd0
2023-04-16ParisLongchamp?1st-3th+3
2023-03-18Saint-Cloud?6th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0618/0326/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20222nd18/15%86%+0.80
15/08/20224th9/276%63%-0.14
01/09/20223rd4/179%60%-0.19
18/03/20236th40/10%29%+0.29
16/04/20231st12/137%100%+0.63
09/07/20242nd6/168%88%+0.19
26/07/20241st6/492%100%+0.08
06/08/202612th50/10%0%0.00
29/08/20268th5/174%30%-0.44