1

Grand Clermont

10yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 132

Uttoxeter · Ready Freddie Go Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 10y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ground-versatile sort who has gone from strength to strength for current connections, winning handicaps over C&D and Perth this summer. Continued in good heart since and another bold bid looks on the cards.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 16/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 15716/12C?C8 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1584 @ Uttoxeter 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 114 · 2m4f189y Gd 161 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 114 par2/054OR 1144 @ Uttoxeter 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 112 · 3m10y Gd 163 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 112 par3 @ Worcester 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 122 · 2m7f Goo 160 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 122 par11/063OR 1222 @ Uttoxeter 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 124 · 3m10y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 124 par3 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 124 · 2m7f180y Gd 162 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 124 par12/073OR 1242 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 130 · 3m10y Gd 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 130 par3 @ Cartmel 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 132 · 3m1f107y Goo 168 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 132 par31/083OR 132projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Cartmel34th4th0
2026-07-26Uttoxeter22nd1st+1
2026-07-12Perth31st1st0
2026-06-28Uttoxeter24th3rd+1
2026-06-11Worcester32nd2nd0
2026-05-24Uttoxeter41st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1224/0512/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength62%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/12/20257th9/153%40%-0.13
27/03/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
02/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
24/05/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
11/06/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
28/06/20264th5/174%75%+0.01
12/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
26/07/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
31/08/20264th9/276%25%-0.51