2
Mt Fugi Park
8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 129
Uttoxeter · Ready Freddie Go Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 10y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Worcester | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Carlisle | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Market Rasen | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Exeter | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/03/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 19/04/2024 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 21/02/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 08/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |