5

Annual Invitation

5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed in Irish points and has very much shaped as if handicaps have been the plan since sent hurdling, not at all knocked about when fifth at Uttoxeter (2m) in May. Probably needed the run in a first-time hood at Worcester 4 months on and remains with potential now going handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 21/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f123y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS21/0344 @ Ffos Las 12/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f182y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS12/0444 @ Uttoxeter 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 160 · HIGHER CLASS2/0544 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS23/084projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Worcester47th6th+1
2026-05-02Uttoxeter45th4th+1
2026-04-12Ffos Las49th8th+1
2026-03-21Bangor-on-Dee47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0312/042/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
12/04/20269th150/10%27%+0.27
02/05/20265th50/10%33%+0.33
23/08/20267th50/10%40%+0.40