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14

Bowling Shane

4yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 82

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair lightly raced maiden on Flat. Yet to match that level over hurdles but wasn't disgraced fitted with a first-time tongue strap when fourth in 12-runner at Newton Abbot (2¼m) in July. Cheekpieces now added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 28/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f209y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS28/0844 @ Kempton 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f219y Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Nottingham 23/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m6f Hvy 134 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 72 par23/105OR 723 @ Newbury 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m69y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 148 · HIGHER CLASS2/0444 @ Hereford 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Ffos Las 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 84 · 1m7f182y Gd 147 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 84 par5/055OR 845 @ Uttoxeter 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 2m3f207y Gd 146 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 84 par5 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 83 · 2m2f110y Goo 151 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 83 par13/075OR 83projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Newton Abbot54th4th0
2026-06-04Uttoxeter55th5th0
2026-05-05Ffos Las53rd3rd0
2026-04-16Hereford410th9th+1
2026-04-02Chepstow411th10th+1
2026-02-27Newbury38th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0827/025/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20254th40/10%50%+0.50
15/09/20254th33/10%63%+0.63
23/10/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
27/02/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
02/04/202611th50/10%0%0.00
16/04/202610th80/10%25%+0.25
05/05/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
04/06/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
13/07/20264th22/10%73%+0.73