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8

Cawthorne Banker

8yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 93

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#3

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Chased home a subsequent winner at Worcester before enhancing his fine Uttoxeter record when completing a handicap double there in blinkers in July. Made hard work of it on the latter of those starts and found his run of good form hitting the buffers at Worcester since. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 1m7f168y Gd 150 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 86 par17/105OR 865 @ Stratford 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 2m2f148y Goo 167 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 86 par5 @ Catterick 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m7f156y Gd 153 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 89 par1/015OR 895 @ Wetherby 17/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 88 · 2m Goo 157 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 88 par4 @ Worcester 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 86 · 2m Gd 144 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 86 par28/054OR 865 @ Worcester 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 2m Gd 152 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 85 · 1m7f168y Gd 155 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 85 par7/075OR 855 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 90 · 1m7f168y Gd 159 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 90 par5 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 94 · 2m Gd 160 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 94 par23/085OR 94projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Worcester511th11th0
2026-07-24Uttoxeter51st1st0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter51st1st0
2026-06-17Worcester52nd2nd0
2026-05-28Worcester45th4th+1
2026-04-05Market Rasen50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1017/037/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
18/10/20256th2/189%29%-0.61
01/01/20267th11/271%33%-0.38
17/03/202610th8/158%10%-0.48
28/05/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
17/06/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
07/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
24/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
23/08/202611th17/255%17%-0.39