15

Delta Legend

6yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 77

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#12

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner on the Flat (stays 1½m) in 2024 but below form last year and no promise on all 3 starts over hurdles. Major improvement needed on this switch to handicaps following a breathing operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 140 · beat its mark28/10/2024 · OR 62 par28/106OR 626 @ Lingfield 19/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m5f Std 138 · below its mark19/11/2024 · OR 62 par6 @ Southwell 29/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 61 · 1m4f14y Std 132 · beat its mark29/12/2024 · OR 61 par29/126OR 615 @ Chelmsford City 11/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m6f Sta 126 · beat its mark11/01/2025 · OR 60 par6 @ Lingfield 22/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m1y Std 131 · beat its mark22/01/2025 · OR 58 par22/016OR 586 @ Wolverhampton 18/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m142y Std 129 · beat its mark18/02/2025 · OR 56 par6 @ Chelmsford City 18/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 53 · 7f Std 123 · beat its mark18/04/2025 · OR 53 par18/046OR 534 @ Worcester 28/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m Gd 157 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Worcester 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS17/064projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Worcester48th7th+1
2026-05-28Worcester46th5th+1
2026-05-05Hereford4+1
2025-04-18Chelmsford City611th12th1
2025-02-18Wolverhampton65th6th1
2025-01-22Lingfield66th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1011/0118/0417/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20243rd7/491%75%-0.16
19/11/202411th17/255%9%-0.46
29/12/20245th10/382%60%-0.22
11/01/202510th20/10%0%0.00
22/01/20256th7/163%44%-0.19
18/02/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
18/04/202511th40/10%17%+0.17
28/05/20266th250/10%0%0.00
17/06/20268th300/10%13%+0.13