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5yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 99

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair and prolific on Flat (stays 11f) and has shown promise in this sphere, including in a maiden/novice during the spring. Would have pushed the winner closest but for a calamitous error 2 out on his handicap debut/final start for James Owen at Stratford and remains with potential for new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 07/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m1y Std 132 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 69 par7/025OR 695 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m2f Std 128 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 67 par20/035OR 675 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 67 · 1m2f Std 154 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m3f23y Std 137 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 66 par2/045OR 665 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m6y GS 131 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 71 par4 @ Hereford 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS16/0444 @ Ludlow 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f169y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Worcester 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 100 · 2m Gd 168 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 100 par17/065OR 100projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Worcester54th4th0
2026-04-22Ludlow44th3rd+1
2026-04-16Hereford44th3rd+1
2026-04-07Pontefract54th4th0
2026-04-02Southwell53rd3rd0
2026-03-27Lingfield51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0227/0316/0417/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20266th3/184%17%-0.68
28/02/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
20/03/20269th9/276%11%-0.65
27/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
02/04/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
07/04/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
16/04/20264th12/137%75%+0.38
22/04/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
17/06/20264th10/382%57%-0.25