4

Time Interval

8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96

Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

48%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded back-to-back wins at Stratford/Warwick before placing off much higher marks last summer. Now well handicapped following a quiet spring and may revive on the back of a breathing operation for new yard (£8,000 buy for Dan Skelton, who's previously done well with ex-David Dennis horses).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 29/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 113 · 1m7f168y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 113 par29/064OR 1134 @ Uttoxeter 27/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 115 · 1m7f168y Gd 165 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/07/2025 · OR 115 par3 @ Cheltenham 14/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 114 · 2m5f Sft 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 114 par14/113OR 1143 @ Huntingdon 07/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 112 · 1m7f171y Sft 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 112 par3 @ Hereford 20/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 110 · 2m3f147y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 110 par20/123OR 1103 @ Taunton 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 108 · 2m3f1y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/01/2026 · OR 108 par4 @ Warwick 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 106 · 2m Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 106 par8/034OR 1064 @ Kempton 23/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/03/2026 · OR 104 par4 @ Huntingdon 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m7f171y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 102 par4/044OR 102projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Stratford50
2026-04-04Huntingdon47th6th+1
2026-03-23Kempton46th5th+1
2026-03-08Warwick45th4th+1
2026-01-08Taunton36th4th+2
2025-12-20Hereford37th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/067/128/034/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20252nd11/142%88%+0.45
27/07/20253rd15/261%78%+0.17
14/11/202511th40/10%41%+0.41
07/12/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
20/12/20257th9/153%14%-0.38
08/01/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
08/03/20265th10/382%67%-0.16
23/03/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
04/04/20267th7/163%14%-0.49