1
Zucayan
9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Uttoxeter · Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Ludlow | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Ludlow | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Nottingham | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/09/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |