9

A Dublin Job
9yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 92
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/06/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |