9

A Dublin Job

9yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 92

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful first 3 starts over fences for Harry Derham but has struggled for new yard this season, including in a visor last 3 starts, and he was losing his place prior to unseating 2 out at Stratford (23f) 10 days ago. Can only be watched at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 21/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 2m3f189y Goo 157 · beat its mark21/05/2024 · OR 89 par21/055OR 895 @ Market Rasen 21/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 95 · 2m3f34y Gd 168 · beat its mark21/06/2024 · OR 95 par4 @ Warwick 21/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 107 · 2m4f Goo 167 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 107 par21/054OR 1074 @ Stratford 17/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 111 · 2m6f125y Goo 166 · below its mark17/06/2025 · OR 111 par2 @ Uttoxeter 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 111 · 2m4f Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 111 par24/052OR 1114 @ Uttoxeter 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 110 · 2m4f Gd 163 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 110 par4 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 107 · 3m10y Gd 156 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 107 par7/074OR 1074 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 102 · 2m4f Gd 150 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 102 par5 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 2m5f89y Gd 165 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 97 par15/085OR 97projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Stratford51
2026-08-15Market Rasen55th6th1
2026-07-26Uttoxeter46th6th0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter45th5th0
2026-06-13Uttoxeter45th5th0
2026-05-24Uttoxeter26th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0517/067/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
21/06/20241st15/890%100%+0.10
21/05/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
17/06/20252nd5/493%80%-0.13
24/05/20266th40/10%0%0.00
13/06/20265th50/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
26/07/20266th80/10%44%+0.44
15/08/20265th14/126%20%-0.06