1
Gaelic Rambler
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Wetherby | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Stratford | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |