7

Hudson

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 100

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden hurdler for Ellmarie Holden in Ireland. Yet to recapture that form for this yard and he failed to build on more promising signs displayed when fourth in a C&D handicap in July when third over this trip at Worcester latest. Still, potentially well handicapped now on pick of hurdles form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1547/07C8C8 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 154BHA103 @ Kilbeggan 22/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 103 · 2m2f200y Goo 160 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 103 par22/08103OR 103BHA104 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 104 · 2m160y Goo 158 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 104 par4 @ Exeter 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 111 · 2m161y GS 164 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 111 par23/114OR 1114 @ Market Rasen 16/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 110 · 2m7f16y Goo 168 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 110 par4 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 108 · 2m4f Gd 161 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 108 par7/074OR 1084 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 105 · 2m4f Gd 153 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 105 par4 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 102 · 2m4f Gd 150 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 102 par23/084OR 102projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Worcester43rd3rd0
2026-07-26Uttoxeter44th4th0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter48th8th0
2026-05-16Bangor-on-Dee40
2026-01-16Market Rasen47th7th0
2025-11-23Exeter44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/078/097/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20258th7/282%53%-0.28
24/07/20254th13/266%77%+0.11
22/08/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
08/09/20252nd9/153%95%+0.42
23/11/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
16/01/20267th22/10%25%+0.25
07/07/20268th17/255%0%-0.55
26/07/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
23/08/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78