2

Mix Of Clover

12yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 108

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f

#5

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable veteran who sprang a surprise having dropped back down to last winning mark when scoring in 6-runner handicap chase at Worcester (2½m) in July. However, somewhat predictably struggled to back that up on the back of a 6 lb rise back over same C&D 23 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 105 · 2m Goo 168 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 105 par17/075OR 1054 @ Market Rasen 16/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 108 · 2m1f43y Gd 166 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 108 par4 @ Worcester 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 105 · 2m Goo 158 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 105 par5/094OR 1054 @ Worcester 26/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m Gd 162 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 104 par4 @ Stratford 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 102 · 2m4f205y Goo 156 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 102 par18/104OR 1024 @ Stratford 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 105 · 2m4f205y Goo 160 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 105 par4 @ Stratford 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 104 · 2m6f125y Goo 157 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 104 par16/064OR 1045 @ Worcester 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 102 · 2m4f Gd 166 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 102 par4 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 108 · 2m4f Gd 156 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 108 par23/084OR 108projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Worcester47th7th0
2026-07-10Worcester51st2nd1
2026-06-16Stratford43rd3rd0
2026-05-30Stratford43rd3rd0
2025-11-11Hereford40
2025-10-18Stratford41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0726/0916/0623/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20252nd5/174%50%-0.24
16/08/20257th22/10%0%0.00
05/09/20253rd33/10%60%+0.60
26/09/20256th22/10%29%+0.29
18/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
30/05/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
16/06/20263rd11/142%50%+0.08
10/07/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
23/08/20267th40/10%33%+0.33