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10

Nico Du Cedre

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Vincennes · Prix Velleda - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Caen 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13219/036C0 @ Caen 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13230/03C?C0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13222/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13218/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-06-22Caen?1st1st0
2026-05-27Caen?0
2026-05-03Caen?0
2026-04-25Caen60
2026-03-30Caen?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0330/0322/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20265th15/890%43%-0.47
30/03/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
22/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
18/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18