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12

Norgusson Atalante

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Vincennes · Prix Velleda - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1259/12C?4 @ Vincennes 15/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 13215/0143 @ Vincennes 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13230/0131 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13220/031C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13231/03C?3 @ Enghien 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13214/083projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?0
2026-08-14Enghien34th4th0
2026-04-11Vincennes10
2026-03-31Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-03-20Vincennes16th6th0
2026-02-27Vincennes20

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1215/0130/0120/0331/0314/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/20257th22/10%54%+0.54
15/01/20262nd25/10%83%+0.83
30/01/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
20/03/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
31/03/20265th20/10%50%+0.50
14/08/20264th40/10%67%+0.67