11
Number One Madrik
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Velleda - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |