1

Litchi Du Biset
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Aludra - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 93% | -0.02 |
| 12/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 79% | -0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |