3
Luigi Paulca
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Aludra - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |