10
Lukari De Fontaine
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Aludra - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |