8
Melkior De Bailly
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Enis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |