IvyArcIvyArc
9

Michigan Blue

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Vincennes · Prix Enis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12329/04C?C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12319/05C?C0 @ Les Sables 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1232/06C?6 @ Les Sables 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 13011/0765 @ Pornichet 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 13013/085C0 @ Vincennes 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13024/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-13Pornichet51st1st0
2026-07-11Les Sables61st1st0
2026-06-11Laval50
2026-06-02Les Sables?4th4th0
2026-05-19Argentan?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0419/052/0611/0713/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20264th50/10%77%+0.77
19/05/20262nd28/10%90%+0.90
02/06/20264th20/10%77%+0.77
11/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
13/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
24/08/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06