10

Montgeneve

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Vincennes · Prix Enis - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1391/01C?4 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1395 @ Enghien 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y 1396/035C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13928/04C?5 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 1394 @ Vincennes 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13919/064C0 @ Cabourg 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 139C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13910/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Enghien?4th4th0
2026-07-14Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-06-19Vincennes49th9th0
2026-05-16Caen56th6th0
2026-04-28Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-13Argentan?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0113/0419/0610/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
16/02/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
06/03/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02
13/04/20269th80/10%53%+0.53
28/04/20265th11/142%60%+0.18
16/05/20266th14/126%64%+0.38
19/06/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
14/07/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
10/08/20264th66/10%80%+0.80