5

Magic De Vauville

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bazet - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#16

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mans 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 19/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/09C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 27/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/11C?5 @ Nantes 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 05 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/0354 @ Vincennes 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/055projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Les Sables?0
2026-07-05Laval?0
2026-05-21Le Mans54th4th0
2026-04-24Vincennes48th8th0
2026-03-28Laval54th4th0
2026-02-21Nantes52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/077/1128/0321/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20255th50/10%60%+0.60
27/08/20254th80/10%67%+0.67
19/09/20258th28/10%36%+0.36
07/11/20252nd80/10%93%+0.93
27/11/20256th18/15%50%+0.45
21/02/20262nd66/10%92%+0.92
28/03/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
24/04/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
21/05/20264th25/10%77%+0.77