12

Marabou Dodville

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bazet - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 27/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/02C?C0 @ Laval 29/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 23/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 023/04C?C0 @ Enghien 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 05/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05Laval?9th9th0
2026-02-22Vincennes?0
2025-12-26Vincennes?5th5th0
2025-11-26Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-10-13Enghien?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0213/105/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20252nd18/15%90%+0.85
29/03/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
23/04/20256th10/382%44%-0.38
13/10/20253rd14/126%82%+0.56
26/11/20253rd17/255%82%+0.27
26/12/20255th9/153%64%+0.11
05/07/20269th22/10%20%+0.20
26/08/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36