15

Medellin Ellis

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bazet - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 04/03C?C0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1393/05C?C0 @ Nancy 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/06C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 020/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-06-27Enghien?4th4th0
2026-06-14La Capelle?3rd3rd0
2026-05-29Nancy?4th4th0
2026-05-03La Capelle?4th4th0
2026-04-19La Capelle?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1219/0414/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/12/20252nd11/142%86%+0.44
29/12/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
04/03/202610th66/10%25%+0.25
19/04/202611th33/10%17%+0.17
03/05/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
29/05/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
14/06/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
27/06/20264th17/255%75%+0.20
20/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11