4
Mirabilis Vrie
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Bazet - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 42% | -0.14 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 29/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 85% | -0.01 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |