14

Monsieur William

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Bazet - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#13

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1324/10C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-25La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?3rd3rd0
2025-10-04Cabourg?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/105/0825/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20259th12/137%33%-0.04
05/08/20263rd20/10%85%+0.85
25/08/20262nd12/137%91%+0.54
05/09/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34