7
Nocturne De Busset
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix Goberta - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 09/09/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |