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12

Iron Spirit

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Sagitta - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#14

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 18
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 27/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12127/11C?C0 @ Reims 01/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 22/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 022/09C?C0 @ Enghien 27/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 27/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/10C?C0 @ Reims 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 16/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 016/06C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 018 @ Vincennes 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 022/0818projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Vincennes1812th12th0
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?9th9th0
2026-07-07La Capelle?0
2026-06-16Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-05-31Reims?6th6th0
2025-10-27Le Croise-Laroche?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1127/0916/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/20248th50/10%42%+0.42
01/06/20257th66/10%45%+0.45
22/09/20259th80/10%38%+0.38
27/09/202511th80/10%33%+0.33
27/10/202510th66/10%40%+0.40
31/05/20266th80/10%44%+0.44
16/06/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
28/07/20269th80/10%33%+0.33
22/08/202612th40/10%21%+0.21