15

Jawax De Keryann

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Sagitta - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 10/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 010/10C?C0 @ Reims 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Saint Brieuc 05/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m7f144y Std 05/12C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 014/01C?6 @ Vincennes 24/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?6 @ Enghien 13/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 030/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Pornichet?7th7th0
2026-03-13Enghien67th7th0
2026-02-11Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-01-24Vincennes61st1st0
2026-01-14Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-18Meslay Du Maine?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1018/1211/0230/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20254th25/10%73%+0.73
23/11/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
05/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
18/12/202510th15/261%47%-0.13
14/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
24/01/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
11/02/20266th12/137%64%+0.27
13/03/20267th5/174%40%-0.34
30/07/20267th13/266%40%-0.26