5
Jewel Of Sebha
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Sagitta - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2024 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 22/12/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 81% | +0.15 |
| 17/01/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 31/07/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.21 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |