8

Karlie Malco

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Sagitta - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 022/08C?C0 @ Laval 15/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/11C?6 @ Nantes 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Pontchateau 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y 06/03C?C0 @ Nantes 01/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 06 @ Les Sables 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 021/086projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Les Sables64th4th0
2026-06-01Nantes?12th12th0
2026-03-06Pontchateau?8th8th0
2026-02-13Nantes63rd3rd0
2025-11-30Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-11-07Laval?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/087/116/0321/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20256th80/10%62%+0.62
15/09/20253rd5/174%86%+0.12
25/09/20258th25/10%50%+0.50
07/11/20254th33/10%80%+0.80
30/11/202511th20/10%29%+0.29
13/02/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38
06/03/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
01/06/202612th100/10%15%+0.15
21/08/20264th80/10%70%+0.70