16
Krak De Bussieres
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Sagitta - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/05/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/07/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/02/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |