IvyArcIvyArc
7

Nabad Du Rocher

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Beaucaire - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 015/11C?4 @ Meslay Du Maine 09/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/044C0 @ Cholet 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 09/06C?C0 @ Laval 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/06C?3 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 010/0734 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet41st1st0
2026-07-10Cabourg39th9th0
2026-06-25Laval?1st1st0
2026-06-09Cholet?3rd3rd0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine48th8th0
2026-03-28Laval50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/119/049/0625/0610/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20253rd50/10%83%+0.83
09/04/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
09/06/20263rd66/10%82%+0.82
25/06/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
10/07/20269th20/10%47%+0.47
23/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09