Candy Warhol
7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap · 6f 20y
#1
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 2 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |