8
King Cherry
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap · 6f 20y
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |